May 7, 2025 | Nairobi, Kenya
The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), one of Kenya’s most influential political parties, is facing growing internal tensions as it weighs the future of its cooperation with President William Ruto’s administration.
The party, led by veteran opposition figure Raila Odinga, has found itself under increasing pressure both from within its ranks and from supporters across the country. The crux of the matter lies in the political pact formed in the aftermath of the contentious 2022 General Election, which saw ODM align—albeit informally—with the ruling Kenya Kwanza coalition on selected national issues.
However, recent weeks have exposed a widening rift within the ODM leadership, with a faction pushing for a complete withdrawal from the agreement, citing betrayal of party values, erosion of political identity, and dissatisfaction with the government’s delivery on key promises.
Mounting Pressure from the Grassroots
ODM’s grassroots support base, particularly in its strongholds in Nyanza, Coast, and parts of Western Kenya, has grown increasingly vocal. Critics argue that the cooperation with President Ruto has yielded little tangible benefit for their regions and risks blurring the lines between the government and opposition—at a time when checks and balances are seen as critical.
“The party is losing its soul,” said an ODM youth leader from Kisumu, who spoke on condition of anonymity. “We joined ODM to stand against what we believed was an unjust administration, not to prop it up.”
Leadership Divided
The party’s top leadership remains divided. While Odinga has maintained a cautious tone—often advocating dialogue and national unity—some senior figures, including MPs and senators, are calling for a reassessment of the party’s strategy.
“We cannot be in government and opposition at the same time,” said Ugunja MP Opiyo Wandayi during a recent rally. “The people expect us to stand firm and speak truth to power, not to dilute our voice in the name of cooperation.”
Strategic Considerations
Political analysts believe ODM’s internal turmoil reflects broader strategic concerns ahead of the 2027 General Election. By maintaining ties with the government, the party risks alienating its base and undermining its image as a strong opposition force. On the other hand, pulling out of the cooperation could isolate ODM from potential influence in government decisions and funding.
“There’s a real balancing act here,” said Prof. Herman Manyora, a political commentator. “ODM must weigh the short-term political risks against long-term electoral consequences.”
A Decision Looms
The party has announced that it will hold a high-level retreat later this month to deliberate on the way forward. According to insiders, the meeting is expected to produce a decisive resolution on the future of the party’s relationship with the Kenya Kwanza administration.
As the political temperature rises, all eyes are on Raila Odinga and the ODM leadership to provide clarity and direction in what is fast becoming a defining moment for Kenya’s political landscape.
